Burundi vs Gambia: result 3-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 16, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Burundi vs Gambia?
Burundi won 3-2 on November 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′A. BigirimanaBurundi
- 35′F. NsabiyumvaBurundi
- 45′M. BarrowGambia
- 75′S. AbdallahBurundi
- 90′E. ColleyGambia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burundi have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gambia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Cameroon(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Namibia(home) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Indonesia(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Indonesia(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Ivory Coast(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Congo(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 14, 2023 | South Sudan(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Mali(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Mali(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Burundi score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gambia score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burundi | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gambia | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burundi sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (10 points from 10 matches) and Gambia sit 3rd (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gambia | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 13 |
| 5 | Burundi | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy