Zambia vs Malawi: result 0-1 and analysis
COSAFA CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on July 6, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
Full time
What was the result of Zambia vs Malawi?
Malawi won 0-1 on July 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 17′A. KatebeMalawi (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Malawi have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Ivory Coast(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 12, 2023 | Kuwait(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Lesotho(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2023 | Lesotho(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Israel(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2023 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Mozambique(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Egypt(home) | 0-4 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Egypt(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 15, 2023 | Bangladesh(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Zambia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Malawi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Zambia 1-0 Malawi | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Malawi | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy