Zambia vs Nigeria: result 1-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Africa3rd Round - 1Kick-off on October 9, 2016 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Full time
What was the result of Zambia vs Nigeria?
Nigeria won 1-2 on October 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 32′A. IwobiNigeria
- 42′K. ỊheanachọNigeria
- 71′Collins Ntofontofo MbesumaZambia
Official lineup for Zambia vs Nigeria
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Zambia
- 8Winston Kalengo
- 9Collins Ntofontofo Mbesuma
- 10Fwayo Tembo
- 11Chisamba Lungu
- 17R. Kalaba
- 19Nathan Sinkala
- 3Fackson Kapumbu
- 4Adrian Chama
- 12K. Chongo
- 13S. Sunzu
- 16K. Mweene
Nigeria
- 8B. Ideye
- 11M. Simon
- 14K. Ịheanachọ
- 10Mikel John Obi
- 17O. Onazi
- 18A. Iwobi
- 21W. Ndidi
- 3Elderson Echiejile
- 4K. Omeruo
- 5W. Troost-Ekong
- 1C. Ikeme
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Nigeria have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2016 | Guinea(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Mali(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Uganda(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Sudan(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | Guinea(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 22, 2016 | Tunisia(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 18, 2016 | Niger(home) | 4-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Swaziland(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2015 | Swaziland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nigeria score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Nigeria | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (9 points from 8 matches) and Nigeria sit 2nd (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NigeriaGroup C | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | ZambiaGroup E | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Zambia vs Nigeria?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy