Zambia vs Zimbabwe: result 1-2 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 19, 2019 at 04:00 PM (UTC)National Heroes Stadium, Lusaka
Full time
What was the result of Zambia vs Zimbabwe?
Zimbabwe won 1-2 on November 19, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 10′K. BilliatZimbabwe
- 19′P. DakaZambia
- 79′K. BilliatZimbabwe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Zimbabwe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Eswatini(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Benin(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Eswatini(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | Botswana(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Lesotho(home) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Somalia(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2019 | Somalia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Zambia win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Zimbabwe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | Zambia 2-2 Zimbabwe | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Zimbabwe 0-0 Zambia | Friendlies |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Zimbabwe 0-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Zambia 0-1 Zimbabwe | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Zimbabwe 0-0 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbabwe score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Zimbabwe | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (13 points from 6 matches) and Zimbabwe sit 2nd (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy