Zimbabwe vs Sierra Leone: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Francistown Stadium, Francistown
The Footlab AI model makes Zimbabwe the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Sierra Leone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zimbabwe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zimbabwe vs Sierra Leone?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Zimbabwe (1,462) and Sierra Leone (1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zimbabwe vs Sierra Leone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zimbabwe
4-4-2- 20T. Chirewa
- 9T. Ngwenya
- 8M. Munetsi
- 18M. Nakamba
- 19Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 14B. Antonio
- 4M. Garananga
- 2Shane Maroodza
- 10A. Rinomhota
- 12C. Mthunzi
- 1E. Chipezeze
Sierra Leone
4-2-3-1- 15A. Conteh
- 7I. Kanu
- 17M. Kamara
- 8Alhassan Koroma
- 14T. Fornah
- 4A. Dumbuya
- 5Alpha Turay
- 21Abdulay Bah
- 2O. Kakay
- 13G. Abdul
- 1M. Jalloh
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zimbabwe have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sierra Leone have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Congo DR(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sierra Leone(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| May 30, 2026 | India(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 26, 2026 | Nigeria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Zambia U23(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Liberia(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Liberia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Zimbabwe win, 0 draws, 0 Sierra Leone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sierra Leone 2-3 Zimbabwe | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe on Sep 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbabwe score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sierra Leone score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbabwe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sierra Leone | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zimbabwe sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Sierra Leone sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Zimbabwe vs Sierra Leone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zimbabwe vs Sierra Leone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zimbabwe the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Sierra Leone.
- Where and when is Zimbabwe vs Sierra Leone played?
- Zimbabwe vs Sierra Leone is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Francistown Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.