Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Štadión Pod Dubňom, Žilina
The Footlab model makes Žilina the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dukla Banská Bystrica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
Žilina starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žilina have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dukla Banská Bystrica have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(away) | 4-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skalica(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ružomberok(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lovca(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Žilina(home) | 3-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Žilina win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Dukla Banská Bystrica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica 3-4 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Dukla Banská Bystrica 1-2 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Žilina 2-0 Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Dukla Banská Bystrica 3-1 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Žilina 1-4 Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga |
| May 23, 2023 | Dukla Banská Bystrica 1-3 Žilina | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Žilina on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Žilina score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dukla Banská Bystrica score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žilina | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žilina sit 4th in Super Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Dukla Banská Bystrica sit 9th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Žilina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
- The Footlab model makes Žilina the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Dukla Banská Bystrica.
- Where and when is Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica played?
- Žilina vs Dukla Banská Bystrica is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión Pod Dubňom, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.