Zenit vs AC Milan: result 2-3 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 2Kick-off on October 3, 2012 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gazprom Arena, St. Petersburg
Full time
What was the result of Zenit vs AC Milan?
AC Milan won 2-3 on October 3, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 13′Urby Vitorrio Diego EmanuelsonAC Milan
- 16′S. El ShaarawyAC Milan
- 45′HulkZenit
- 49′Roman ShirokovZenit
- 75′T. HubočanAC Milan (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Zenit have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; AC Milan have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2012 | Malaga(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 6, 2012 | Benfica(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 15, 2012 | Benfica(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 6, 2011 | FC Porto(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 23, 2011 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Cagliari(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Udinese(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Atalanta(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 9; AC Milan score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/9 | 5/9 |
| AC Milan | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy