CSKA Moscow vs Zenit: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)VEB Arena, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for CSKA Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Zenit?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (2,181 vs 2,013).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Moscow have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Zenit have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CSKA Moscow win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Zenit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 1-3 Zenit | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Zenit 2-2 CSKA Moscow | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Zenit 1-1 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| May 14, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 2-0 Zenit | Cup |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Zenit 2-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Zenit 0-0 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zenit score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Zenit | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Moscow sit 3rd in Premier League (11 points from 5 matches) and Zenit sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Zenit | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs Zenit?
- The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for CSKA Moscow.
- Where and when is CSKA Moscow vs Zenit played?
- CSKA Moscow vs Zenit is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at VEB Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.