FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ungheni, Ungheni
The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Zimbru II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate FCM Ungheni (1,337) and Zimbru II (1,239).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCM Ungheni have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Zimbru II have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 6-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Floreşti(away) | 4-5 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Iskra(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Univer Comrat(away) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(home) | 4-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(away) | 1-5 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 FCM Ungheni win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zimbru II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II 1-3 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | FCM Ungheni 5-1 Zimbru II | Liga 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Zimbru II 0-2 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | FCM Ungheni 3-3 Zimbru II | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Zimbru II 3-2 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Zimbru II vs FCM Ungheni on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FCM Ungheni score 3.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbru II score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCM Ungheni | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Zimbru II | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCM Ungheni sit 3rd in Liga 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Zimbru II sit 5th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Zimbru II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II?
- The Footlab model makes FCM Ungheni the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Zimbru II.
- Where and when is FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II played?
- FCM Ungheni vs Zimbru II is played on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ungheni, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.