Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Znicz Pruszków the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Znicz Pruszków (1,786) and Górnik Łęczna (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Znicz Pruszków have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Górnik Łęczna have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Znicz Pruszków win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Górnik Łęczna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków 2-2 Górnik Łęczna | I Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Górnik Łęczna 1-1 Znicz Pruszków | I Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Górnik Łęczna 1-2 Znicz Pruszków | I Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Znicz Pruszków 2-3 Górnik Łęczna | I Liga |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Znicz Pruszków 1-2 Górnik Łęczna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Górnik Łęczna 1-1 Znicz Pruszków | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Łęczna sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna?
- The Footlab model makes Znicz Pruszków the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna played?
- Znicz Pruszków vs Górnik Łęczna is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- May 8, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsHutnik Kraków
- May 8, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsLegia Warszawa II
- May 8, 2027Świt SkolwinvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- May 8, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- May 8, 2027Lechia Zielona GóravsTychy 71
- May 8, 2027Sokół KleczewvsStal Stalowa Wola
- May 8, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsChojniczanka Chojnice