Match

Świt Skolwin vs Podhale Nowy Targ: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Skolwin, Szczecin

Świt SkolwinPodhale Nowy Targ

The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Podhale Nowy Targ?

Podhale Nowy Targ starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,736).

Świt Skolwin win29 %
Draw25 %
Podhale Nowy Targ win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Świt Skolwin have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Podhale Nowy Targ have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Świt Skolwin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 15, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home)0-1II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Legia Warszawa II(away)0-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(away)3-5Cup
Aug 1, 2026Hutnik Kraków(away)0-3II Liga - East
Podhale Nowy Targ
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-5II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kleczew(away)0-0II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Świt Skolwin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Podhale Nowy Targ win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ 3-1 Świt SkolwinII Liga - East
Oct 11, 2025Świt Skolwin 3-0 Podhale Nowy TargII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Świt Skolwin on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Podhale Nowy Targ score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Świt Skolwin0.82.506/157/15
Podhale Nowy Targ1.91.6310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Świt Skolwin sit 18th in II Liga - East (1 points from 5 matches) and Podhale Nowy Targ sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Podhale Nowy Targ51228125
18Świt Skolwin50143131

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Świt Skolwin vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
The Footlab model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Świt Skolwin.
Where and when is Świt Skolwin vs Podhale Nowy Targ played?
Świt Skolwin vs Podhale Nowy Targ is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Skolwin, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Świt Skolwin and Podhale Nowy Targ

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