Znicz Pruszków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Znicz Pruszków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Znicz Pruszków have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Znicz Pruszków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Znicz Pruszków.
- Where and when is Znicz Pruszków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz played?
- Znicz Pruszków vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Apr 17, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsTychy 71
- Apr 17, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsSokół Kleczew
- Apr 17, 2027Legia Warszawa IIvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Apr 17, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Apr 17, 2027Podhale Nowy TargvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Apr 17, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Apr 17, 2027Świt SkolwinvsAvia Świdnik