Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Znicz Pruszków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Znicz Pruszków have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Znicz Pruszków score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Znicz Pruszków | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Znicz Pruszków sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Znicz Pruszków | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Znicz Pruszków.
- Where and when is Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków played?
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Znicz Pruszków is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Oct 10, 2026Tychy 71vsGórnik Łęczna
- Oct 10, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsResovia Rzeszów
- Oct 10, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Oct 10, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Oct 10, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 10, 2026Sokół KleczewvsHutnik Kraków
- Oct 10, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsŚwit Skolwin