Zürich II vs Bellinzona: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Heerenschürli, Zürich
The Footlab model makes Zürich II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zürich II vs Bellinzona?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Zürich II (1,658) and Bellinzona (1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zürich II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bellinzona have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basel II(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zürich II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bellinzona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Bellinzona 1-0 Zürich II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Zürich II 0-0 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Bellinzona 1-0 Zürich II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 1, 2021 | Zürich II 3-0 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Bellinzona 3-3 Zürich II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 28, 2019 | Bellinzona 2-1 Zürich II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Bellinzona vs Zürich II on May 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Zürich II score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zürich II | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zürich II sit 7th in 1. Liga Promotion (7 points from 4 matches) and Bellinzona sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zürich II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zürich II vs Bellinzona?
- The Footlab model makes Zürich II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Zürich II vs Bellinzona played?
- Zürich II vs Bellinzona is played on April 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Heerenschürli, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.