Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Nevesinje: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Novi Gradski Stadion, Ugljevik
The Footlab model makes Zvijezda 09 the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Velež Nevesinje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Nevesinje?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Zvijezda 09 (1,319) and Velež Nevesinje (1,278).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zvijezda 09 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Velež Nevesinje have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 3, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(away) | 4-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | Omarska(home) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje(home) | 6-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | FK Romanija Pale(away) | 4-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 6-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 1-6 | 1st League - RS |
| May 19, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 2-1 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Zvijezda 09 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Velež Nevesinje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Zvijezda 09 6-1 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje 1-0 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Zvijezda 09 2-0 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| May 14, 2025 | Velež Nevesinje 2-1 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Zvijezda 09 3-0 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Nevesinje on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zvijezda 09 score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Velež Nevesinje score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zvijezda 09 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Velež Nevesinje | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zvijezda 09 sit 1st in 1st League - RS (43 points from 30 matches) and Velež Nevesinje sit 3rd (39 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zvijezda 09 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
| 3 | Velež Nevesinje | 29 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 54 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Nevesinje?
- The Footlab model makes Zvijezda 09 the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Velež Nevesinje.
- Where and when is Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Nevesinje played?
- Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Nevesinje is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Novi Gradski Stadion, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.