1º de Agosto vs 1º de Maio: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 11 de Novembro, Luanda
The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Agosto vs 1º de Maio?
1º de Agosto starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Agosto have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; 1º de Maio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Luanda City(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 1º de Agosto win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 1º de Maio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1º de Maio 1-1 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
| Oct 5, 2025 | 1º de Agosto 1-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Jun 16, 2018 | 1º de Agosto 0-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| May 20, 2018 | 1º de Maio 0-1 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
| Jul 2, 2017 | 1º de Agosto 2-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1º de Maio 0-3 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: 1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Agosto score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Agosto | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Agosto sit 4th in Girabola (3 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Maio sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1º de Agosto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Agosto vs 1º de Maio?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for 1º de Maio.
- Where and when is 1º de Agosto vs 1º de Maio played?
- 1º de Agosto vs 1º de Maio is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 11 de Novembro, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.