Match

1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto: prediction and stats

GirabolaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela

1º de Maio1º de Agosto

The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto?

1º de Agosto starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,588).

1º de Maio win24 %
Draw31 %
1º de Agosto win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; 1º de Agosto have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1º de Maio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kabuscorp(home)1-1Girabola
May 24, 2026Sagrada Esperança(away)1-1Girabola
May 20, 2026Desportivo Huíla(home)0-0Girabola
May 16, 2026Petro de Luanda(away)0-0Girabola
May 10, 2026Académica do Lobito(away)1-0Girabola
1º de Agosto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Desportivo Huíla(home)1-0Girabola
May 24, 2026Redonda FC(home)1-1Girabola
May 20, 2026Luanda City(away)1-0Girabola
May 16, 2026Kabuscorp(home)0-1Girabola
May 9, 2026Interclube(away)0-0Girabola

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 1º de Maio win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 1º de Agosto win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 20261º de Maio 1-1 1º de AgostoGirabola
Oct 5, 20251º de Agosto 1-0 1º de MaioGirabola
Jun 16, 20181º de Agosto 0-0 1º de MaioGirabola
May 20, 20181º de Maio 0-1 1º de AgostoGirabola
Jul 2, 20171º de Agosto 2-1 1º de MaioGirabola
Feb 24, 20171º de Maio 0-3 1º de AgostoGirabola

Last archived meeting: 1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Agosto score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1º de Maio1.20.958/154/15
1º de Agosto1.20.676/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Agosto sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
41º de Agosto1100103
71º de Maio1010111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto?
The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for 1º de Maio.
Where and when is 1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto played?
1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto is played on August 27, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1º de Maio and 1º de Agosto

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