1º de Agosto vs Green Mamba: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 11 de Novembro, Luanda
The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Green Mamba. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Agosto vs Green Mamba?
1º de Agosto starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Agosto have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Green Mamba have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Luanda City(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 6, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Tabankulu(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Manzini Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sisonkhe(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Rangers FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Royal Leopards(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Agosto score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Green Mamba score 0.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Agosto | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Green Mamba | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Agosto vs Green Mamba?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Green Mamba.
- Where and when is 1º de Agosto vs Green Mamba played?
- 1º de Agosto vs Green Mamba is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 11 de Novembro, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.