1º de Maio vs Afogados: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Afogados. The most likely score is 1-1. If 1º de Maio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Afogados?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,449) and Afogados (1,454).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for 1º de Maio vs Afogados
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
1º de Maio
Not enough data to predict the 1º de Maio lineup.
Afogados
4-2-3-1- RRodrigo
- RRaí
- CClébson
- DDedê
- PPedro Henrique
- CCarlos Eduardo
- WWeslley
- 13Kayk
- DDenner
- VVinícius Alves
- DDanilo
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Afogados have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caruaru City(home) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Belo Jardim(away) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Pesqueira(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | América PE(home) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Aguia FC(away) | 1-4 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Petrolina(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Jaguaré(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Maguary PE(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-4 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Decisão(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 7; Afogados score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| Afogados | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
A question about 1º de Maio vs Afogados?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Afogados?
- The Footlab AI model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Afogados.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Afogados played?
- 1º de Maio vs Afogados is played on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.