1º de Maio vs FC Luanda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for FC Luanda. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,589) and FC Luanda (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; FC Luanda have 0, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Recreativo da Caála(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Luanda score 0.0 and concede 0.0. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| FC Luanda | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and FC Luanda sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for FC Luanda.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda played?
- 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 20261º de AgostovsPetro de Luanda
- Oct 31, 2026Académica do LobitovsBravos do Maquis FC
- Oct 31, 2026InterclubevsDesportivo Huíla
- Oct 31, 2026Recreativo do LibolovsSagrada Esperança
- Oct 31, 2026KabuscorpvsRecreativo da Caála
- Oct 31, 2026WilietevsSporting de Cabinda
- Oct 31, 2026São SalvadorvsCD Lunda-Sul