Wiliete vs Sporting de Cabinda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, Benguela
The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiliete vs Sporting de Cabinda?
Wiliete is a heavy favourite: 1,804 Elo points against 1,452 — a 352-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiliete have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Sporting de Cabinda have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 25, 2024 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 18, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 2-4 | Girabola |
| May 11, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wiliete win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sporting de Cabinda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | Wiliete 1-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-2 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Wiliete 1-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Wiliete 1-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Sporting de Cabinda 0-1 Wiliete | Girabola |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Sporting de Cabinda 2-3 Wiliete | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Wiliete vs Sporting de Cabinda on Nov 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Wiliete score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiliete | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Sporting de Cabinda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiliete sit 3rd in Girabola (3 points from 1 matches) and Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wiliete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Sporting de Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiliete vs Sporting de Cabinda?
- The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Sporting de Cabinda.
- Where and when is Wiliete vs Sporting de Cabinda played?
- Wiliete vs Sporting de Cabinda is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.