1. FC Heidenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,968) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 28, 2023 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1. FC Heidenheim 3-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 5, 2020 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Heidenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Oct 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 20271. FC NürnbergvsHolstein Kiel
- Feb 13, 2027VfL BochumvsDynamo Dresden
- Feb 13, 20271. FC MagdeburgvsHertha BSC
- Feb 13, 2027SV Darmstadt 98vs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Feb 13, 2027FC St. PaulivsArminia Bielefeld
- Feb 13, 2027Eintracht BraunschweigvsVfL Osnabrück
- Feb 13, 2027Karlsruher SCvsHannover 96
- Feb 13, 2027Energie CottbusvsVfL Wolfsburg