Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1. FC Heidenheim

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

1. FC Heidenheim starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,975 vs 1,873).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win35 %

Draw26 %

1. FC Heidenheim win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; 1. FC Heidenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	Eltersdorf(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Heidenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Bayern München(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Hertha BSC(away)	1-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(home)	4-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Bologna(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 1. FC Heidenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2025	1. FC Heidenheim 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 12, 2023	1. FC Heidenheim 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 28, 2023	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 1. FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga
Oct 23, 2022	1. FC Heidenheim 3-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Apr 3, 2021	1. FC Heidenheim 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Dec 5, 2020	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Heidenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Oct 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.2	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
1. FC Heidenheim	2.5	1.7	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	1. FC Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	5	7	3
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.