Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,960) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,016).

FC St. Pauli win38 %

Draw26 %

Arminia Bielefeld win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC St. Pauli win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 29, 2023	FC St. Pauli 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2022	Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2019	FC St. Pauli 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2019	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Apr 14, 2019	FC St. Pauli 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2018	Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld on Apr 29, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.