Match

FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. PauliArminia Bielefeld

The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arminia Bielefeld wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,961) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,004).

37%26%37%
FC St. Pauli winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC St. Pauli

3-4-1-2
  1. 9Abdoulie Ceesay
  2. 7Y. Niang
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 16J. Fujita
  5. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 8E. Smith
  3. 21L. Ritzka
  1. 1B. Voll

Arminia Bielefeld

3-4-3
  1. 38M. Wörl
  2. 11J. Grodowski
  3. 14M. Momuluh
  1. 21S. Russo
  2. 17A. Sicker
  3. 31L. Jensen
  4. 10J. Rochelt
  1. 5M. Bauer
  2. 19M. Großer
  3. 2F. Hagmann
  1. 1J. Kersken

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-32. Bundesliga
Oct 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 2026Hertha BSC(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC St. Pauli wins, 3 draws, 1 Arminia Bielefeld win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 4, 2026Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2023FC St. Pauli 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2022Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2019FC St. Pauli 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2019Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Apr 14, 2019FC St. Pauli 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli on Sep 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli1.21.5311/157/15
Arminia Bielefeld1.91.3410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 10 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 7th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Arminia Bielefeld10424161514
8FC St. Pauli10262121212

A question about FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
FC St. Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC St. Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld

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