1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021) and Hertha BSC (2,043).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Hertha BSC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Hertha BSC 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-3 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Hertha BSC 0-0 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Hertha BSC 3-3 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1. FC Nürnberg 3-1 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC.
- Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC played?
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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