Match

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg

1. FC NürnbergHertha BSC

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021) and Hertha BSC (2,043).

1. FC Nürnberg win42 %
Draw24 %
Hertha BSC win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Hertha BSC have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)4-12. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Hertha BSC 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Sep 28, 20251. FC Nürnberg 0-3 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Feb 21, 2025Hertha BSC 0-0 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Sep 21, 20241. FC Nürnberg 0-2 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Mar 30, 2024Hertha BSC 3-3 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Oct 22, 20231. FC Nürnberg 3-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15
Hertha BSC2.81.339/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
2Hertha BSC2200516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hertha BSC.
Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC played?
1. FC Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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