Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
The Footlab model makes Karlsruher SC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,960) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Karlsruher SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 3-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-4 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Karlsruher SC 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-3 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 4-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-3 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlsruher SC sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
- The Footlab model makes Karlsruher SC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
- Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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