Match

VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

VfL BochumHolstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,986) and Holstein Kiel (1,984).

VfL Bochum win46 %
Draw26 %
Holstein Kiel win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Sheffield Utd(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Werder Bremen(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV 1860 München(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfL Bochum win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026VfL Bochum 2-3 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025Holstein Kiel 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Feb 9, 2025Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL BochumBundesliga
Sep 21, 2024VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein KielBundesliga
Apr 3, 2021VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2020Holstein Kiel 3-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Bochum1.31.239/156/15
Holstein Kiel1.71.5410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7VfL Bochum2101113
12Holstein Kiel2020442

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel played?
VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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