VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,986) and Holstein Kiel (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfL Bochum win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Holstein Kiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | VfL Bochum 2-3 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Holstein Kiel 1-1 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL Bochum | Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel | Bundesliga |
| Apr 3, 2021 | VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 4, 2020 | Holstein Kiel 3-1 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Holstein Kiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Holstein Kiel.
- Where and when is VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel played?
- VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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