Match

VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

VfL BochumHolstein Kiel

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Bochum wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,862 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,999) and Holstein Kiel (1,999).

49%26%25%
VfL Bochum winDrawHolstein Kiel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfL Bochum

4-2-3-1
  1. 33P. Hofmann
  1. 7C. Rasmussen
  2. 34T. Meyer
  3. 23K. Miyoshi
  4. 17G. Holtmann
  5. 24M. Pannewig
  1. 15M. Steinwender
  2. 32M. Wittek
  3. 5K. Mets
  4. 2S. Klaiber
  1. 1T. Horn

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 43T. Wiese
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 13I. Nekić
  1. 1T. Weiner

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(away)0-22. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfL Bochum win, 3 draws, 2 Holstein Kiel wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026VfL Bochum 2-3 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025Holstein Kiel 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Feb 9, 2025Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL BochumBundesliga
Sep 21, 2024VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein KielBundesliga
Apr 3, 2021VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2020Holstein Kiel 3-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Bochum score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Bochum1.11.137/155/15
Holstein Kiel1.41.529/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Bochum sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (7 points from 8 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 18th (5 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16VfL Bochum8215597
18Holstein Kiel80537115

A question about VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel played?
VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel is played on May 23, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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