12 Bingölspor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bingöl Şehir Stadyumu, Bingöl
The Footlab model makes Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 12 Bingölspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 12 Bingölspor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor?
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 12 Bingölspor have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Osmaniyespor(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Türk Metal 1963(home) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
12 Bingölspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Bingölspor | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 82 | 33 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 12 Bingölspor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor?
- The Footlab model makes Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 12 Bingölspor.
- Where and when is 12 Bingölspor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor played?
- 12 Bingölspor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bingöl Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.