Match

İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl

İnegölsporFethiyespor

The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Fethiyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate İnegölspor (1,757) and Fethiyespor (1,672).

İnegölspor win51 %
Draw25 %
Fethiyespor win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegölspor have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Fethiyespor have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

İnegölspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Altınordu(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Ankaragücü(away)2-12. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Elazığspor(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)1-42. Lig
Fethiyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Mardin 1969(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Güzide Gebzespor(away)2-12. Lig
Apr 4, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Bursaspor(home)1-12. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 İnegölspor win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Fethiyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 26, 2025İnegölspor 1-1 Fethiyespor2. Lig
Nov 17, 2024Fethiyespor 0-0 İnegölspor2. Lig
Jan 21, 2024Fethiyespor 0-0 İnegölspor2. Lig
Sep 3, 2023İnegölspor 0-0 Fethiyespor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor on Mar 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fethiyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
İnegölspor1.61.359/1510/15
Fethiyespor1.31.347/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

İnegölspor sit 7th in 2. Lig (60 points from 36 matches) and Fethiyespor sit 13th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7İnegölspor3616128674460
13Fethiyespor34111112524144

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor?
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Fethiyespor.
Where and when is İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor played?
İnegölspor vs Fethiyespor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: İnegölspor and Fethiyespor

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