Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs İskenderunspor played?

Sakaryaspor vs İskenderunspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sakaryaspor vs İskenderunspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, Adapazarı

Sakaryaspor

İskenderunspor

The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sakaryaspor vs İskenderunspor?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Sakaryaspor (1,661) and İskenderunspor (1,723).

Sakaryaspor win35 %

Draw26 %

İskenderunspor win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sakaryaspor have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; İskenderunspor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sakaryaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Manisa F.K.(away)	0-5	1. Lig
Apr 26, 2026	Çorum FK(home)	0-4	1. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	1-1	1. Lig
Apr 13, 2026	Esenler Erokspor(home)	1-2	1. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ümraniyespor(away)	0-2	1. Lig

İskenderunspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	1-4	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Elazığspor(home)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Adana 01 FK(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	24 Erzincanspor(home)	2-1	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	Erbaaspor(away)	0-2	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sakaryaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 İskenderunspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 5, 2015	İskenderunspor 0-2 Sakaryaspor	3. Lig - Group 3
Nov 16, 2014	Sakaryaspor 3-0 İskenderunspor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: İskenderunspor vs Sakaryaspor on Apr 5, 2015

How many goals should we expect?

Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; İskenderunspor score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sakaryaspor	0.9	1.9	2	7/15	7/15
İskenderunspor	1.1	1.4	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	İskenderunspor	36	16	8	12	50	44	56

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sakaryaspor vs İskenderunspor?: The Footlab model makes İskenderunspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sakaryaspor.
Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs İskenderunspor played?: Sakaryaspor vs İskenderunspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.