12 de Junio VH vs Sportivo Carapeguá: prediction and stats
Division IntermediaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Facundo de León Fossati, Villa Hayes
The Footlab model makes 12 de Junio VH the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Sportivo Carapeguá. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 12 de Junio VH vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
12 de Junio VH starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,632 vs 1,519).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 12 de Junio VH have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sportivo Carapeguá have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Encarnación(away) | 2-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Santani(home) | 2-4 | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fernando De La Mora(away) | 1-1 | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 3 de Noviembre(home) | 1-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 17, 2026 | General Caballero(home) | 1-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Encarnación(home) | 1-3 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Santani(away) | 0-2 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fernando De La Mora(home) | 2-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 3 de Noviembre(away) | 1-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | General Caballero(home) | 1-2 | Division Intermedia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 12 de Junio VH win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sportivo Carapeguá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Sportivo Carapeguá 1-3 12 de Junio VH | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 12 de Junio VH 0-0 Sportivo Carapeguá | Division Intermedia |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sportivo Carapeguá 1-0 12 de Junio VH | Division Intermedia |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 12 de Junio VH 1-2 Sportivo Carapeguá | Division Intermedia |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Sportivo Carapeguá 1-1 12 de Junio VH | Division Intermedia |
Last archived meeting: Sportivo Carapeguá vs 12 de Junio VH on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
12 de Junio VH score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sportivo Carapeguá score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 de Junio VH | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
12 de Junio VH sit 2nd in Division Intermedia (40 points from 19 matches) and Sportivo Carapeguá sit 9th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12 de Junio VH | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 40 |
| 9 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 12 de Junio VH vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
- The Footlab model makes 12 de Junio VH the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Sportivo Carapeguá.
- Where and when is 12 de Junio VH vs Sportivo Carapeguá played?
- 12 de Junio VH vs Sportivo Carapeguá is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Facundo de León Fossati, in the Division Intermedia.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.