3 de Noviembre vs Independiente F.b.c.: prediction and stats
Division IntermediaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Independiente F.b.c. the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for 3 de Noviembre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 3 de Noviembre vs Independiente F.b.c.?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate 3 de Noviembre (1,474) and Independiente F.b.c. (1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 3 de Noviembre have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Independiente F.b.c. have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tacuary(away) | 1-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Atlético Tembetary(home) | 3-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benjamín Aceval(away) | 1-2 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sportivo Carapeguá(home) | 0-1 | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 12 de Junio VH(away) | 0-1 | Division Intermedia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | General Caballero(home) | 0-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guairena FC(away) | 2-1 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Resistencia(home) | 1-1 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SOL DE America(away) | 1-1 | Division Intermedia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 3 de Noviembre win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Independiente F.b.c. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Independiente F.b.c. 2-0 3 de Noviembre | Division Intermedia |
Last archived meeting: Independiente F.b.c. vs 3 de Noviembre on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
3 de Noviembre score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente F.b.c. score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 de Noviembre | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Independiente F.b.c. | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
3 de Noviembre sit 16th in Division Intermedia (13 points from 20 matches) and Independiente F.b.c. sit 7th (27 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente F.b.c. | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 27 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 3 de Noviembre vs Independiente F.b.c.?
- The Footlab model makes Independiente F.b.c. the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for 3 de Noviembre.
- Where and when is 3 de Noviembre vs Independiente F.b.c. played?
- 3 de Noviembre vs Independiente F.b.c. is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Division Intermedia.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.