22 de Julio vs Santo Domingo: prediction and stats
Liga Pro Serie BRelegation Group - 1Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Folke Anderson, Esmeraldas
The Footlab model makes Santo Domingo the favourite at 46%, against 35% for a draw and 19% for 22 de Julio. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 22 de Julio vs Santo Domingo?
Santo Domingo starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,583 vs 1,427).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 22 de Julio have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Santo Domingo have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ind. Juniors(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | El Nacional(home) | 1-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 9 de Octubre(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cuniburo(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Cumbayá(away) | 3-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Atletico FC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 9 de Octubre(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 22 de Julio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Santo Domingo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Santo Domingo 1-0 22 de Julio | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 3, 2026 | 22 de Julio 0-0 Santo Domingo | Liga Pro Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Santo Domingo vs 22 de Julio on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
22 de Julio score 0.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Santo Domingo score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Santo Domingo | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
22 de Julio sit 11th in Liga Pro Serie B (15 points from 22 matches) and Santo Domingo sit 8th (28 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 28 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 31 | 15 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 22 de Julio vs Santo Domingo?
- The Footlab model makes Santo Domingo the favourite at 46%, against 35% for a draw and 19% for 22 de Julio.
- Where and when is 22 de Julio vs Santo Domingo played?
- 22 de Julio vs Santo Domingo is played on August 27, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Folke Anderson, in the Liga Pro Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.