Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo: prediction and stats
Liga Pro Serie BRelegation Group - 1Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
The Footlab model makes Cumbayá the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for LDU Portoviejo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Cumbayá (1,560) and LDU Portoviejo (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbayá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; LDU Portoviejo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atletico FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Santo Domingo(home) | 3-3 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | San Antonio(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 22 de Julio(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Cuniburo(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cumbayá(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Atletico FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cumbayá win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 LDU Portoviejo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo 0-0 Cumbayá | Liga Pro Serie B |
| May 13, 2026 | Cumbayá 1-1 LDU Portoviejo | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Cumbayá 4-3 LDU Portoviejo | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2021 | LDU Portoviejo 1-2 Cumbayá | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Cumbayá 1-1 LDU Portoviejo | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Apr 21, 2021 | LDU Portoviejo 1-3 Cumbayá | Liga Pro Serie B |
Last archived meeting: LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbayá on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cumbayá score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; LDU Portoviejo score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbayá | 0.9 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| LDU Portoviejo | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cumbayá sit 10th in Liga Pro Serie B (26 points from 22 matches) and LDU Portoviejo sit 9th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 27 |
| 9 | Cumbayá | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
- The Footlab model makes Cumbayá the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for LDU Portoviejo.
- Where and when is Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo played?
- Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo is played on August 26, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in the Liga Pro Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.