AA Iguaçu vs Samas: prediction and stats
Paranaense - 3Regular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Antiocho Pereira, União da Vitória, Paraná
The Footlab model makes AA Iguaçu the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Samas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AA Iguaçu vs Samas?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate AA Iguaçu (1,592) and Samas (1,576).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AA Iguaçu have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Samas have 1, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Iraty(away) | 0-2 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hope Internacional(away) | 0-0 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Iraty(home) | 1-0 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hope Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Samas(away) | 2-0 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hope Internacional(home) | 1-2 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iraty(home) | 3-2 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hope Internacional(away) | 0-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iraty(away) | 0-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AA Iguaçu(home) | 0-2 | Paranaense - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 AA Iguaçu win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Samas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Samas 0-2 AA Iguaçu | Paranaense - 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
AA Iguaçu score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Samas score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA Iguaçu | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Samas | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AA Iguaçu sit 1st in Paranaense - 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Samas sit 10th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AA Iguaçu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Samas | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AA Iguaçu vs Samas?
- The Footlab model makes AA Iguaçu the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Samas.
- Where and when is AA Iguaçu vs Samas played?
- AA Iguaçu vs Samas is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Antiocho Pereira, in the Paranaense - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.