União PR vs Campo Mourão: prediction and stats
Paranaense - 3Regular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Anilado, Francisco Beltrão, Paraná
The Footlab model makes União PR the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Campo Mourão. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win União PR vs Campo Mourão?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate União PR (1,524) and Campo Mourão (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União PR have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Campo Mourão have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oeste Brasil(away) | 1-3 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sport Club PR(away) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oeste Brasil(home) | 3-2 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Araucária(away) | 1-0 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Araucária(home) | 0-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oeste Brasil(home) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Oeste Brasil(away) | 0-2 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Verê(away) | 0-3 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | União PR(home) | 0-0 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Verê(home) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 União PR win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Campo Mourão win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Campo Mourão 0-0 União PR | Paranaense - 3 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | União PR 0-3 Campo Mourão | Paranaense - 3 |
Last archived meeting: Campo Mourão vs União PR on Sep 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
União PR score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Campo Mourão score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União PR | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Campo Mourão | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
União PR sit 9th in Paranaense - 3 (4 points from 3 matches) and Campo Mourão sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | União PR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Campo Mourão | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for União PR vs Campo Mourão?
- The Footlab model makes União PR the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Campo Mourão.
- Where and when is União PR vs Campo Mourão played?
- União PR vs Campo Mourão is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Anilado, in the Paranaense - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.