AaB II vs Varde: result 1-3 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 7Kick-off on September 22, 2013 at 11:00 AM (UTC)AaB's Anlæg, Aalborg
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What was the result of AaB II vs Varde?
Varde won 1-3 on September 22, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AaB II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Varde have 2, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Hjørring IF(home) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Lindholm(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2013 | VRI(away) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Vejgaard B(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2013 | Aabyhøj(away) | 5-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Hedensted(home) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Aarhus Fremad II(away) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Hobro II(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Randers Freja(away) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Viby(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
AaB II score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Varde score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AaB II | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Varde | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy