Aarhus vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Ceres Park & Arena, Århus
The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Aarhus. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?
SC Braga is a heavy favourite: 2,315 Elo points against 1,996, a 319-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aarhus vs SC Braga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aarhus
3-4-2-1- 13J. Serra
- 31T. Bech
- 23M. Anderson
- 4M. Knudsen
- 29R. Carstensen
- 10Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
- 39Frederik Emmery
- 3D. Grétarsson
- 14T. Mølgaard
- 25C. Rösler
- 1J. Hansen
SC Braga
3-4-2-1- 10Pau Victor
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 11Gabriel Silva
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 29J. Gorby
- 34E. Tıknaz
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 44A. Bajrami
- 22Sergio Barcia
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SC Braga have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sonderjyske(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Horsens(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Skjold Sæby(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aarhus vs SC Braga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarhus vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Aarhus.
- Where and when is Aarhus vs SC Braga played?
- Aarhus vs SC Braga is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Ceres Park & Arena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.