Aarup vs KFUM Roskilde: result 1-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on August 31, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs KFUM Roskilde?
Aarup and KFUM Roskilde drew 1-1 on August 31, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; KFUM Roskilde have 2, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2013 | Frem Sakskøbing(away) | 5-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Taastrup(home) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2013 | Krarup / Espe(away) | 1-4 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Jun 15, 2013 | SC Egedal(home) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Marstal / Rise(away) | 3-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2013 | Greve(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Otterup(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 10, 2013 | Sydalliancen(home) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; KFUM Roskilde score 2.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| KFUM Roskilde | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0 | 3/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy