Aarup vs Marstal / Rise: result 0-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 20, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs Marstal / Rise?
Marstal / Rise won 0-1 on October 20, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 8 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Marstal / Rise have 6, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Døllefjelde-Musse(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Hedensted(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Greve(home) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Greve(home) | 4-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Næstved II(away) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Nakskov(home) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Marstal / Rise score 2.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/12 | 10/12 |
| Marstal / Rise | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/11 | 9/11 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy