Aarup vs Næsby II: result 1-3 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 3, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs Næsby II?
Næsby II won 1-3 on November 3, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 8 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Næsby II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | SC Egedal(away) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Marstal / Rise(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Døllefjelde-Musse(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Hedensted(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 3-4 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Greve(home) | 7-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Næstved II(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Nakskov(home) | 5-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Næsby II score 2.5 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
| Næsby II | 2.5 | 2.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aarup vs Næsby II?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy