Aarup vs Næsby II: result 1-3 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 3, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs Næsby II?
Næsby II won 1-3 on November 3, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 8 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Næsby II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | SC Egedal(away) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Marstal / Rise(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Døllefjelde-Musse(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Hedensted(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 3-4 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Greve(home) | 7-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Næstved II(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Nakskov(home) | 5-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Næsby II score 2.5 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
| Næsby II | 2.5 | 2.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy