Aarup vs Nakskov: result 4-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 1, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs Nakskov?
Aarup won 4-1 on September 1, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Nakskov have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Frem Sakskøbing(away) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | OKS(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Tved(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2012 | GVI(away) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 2-4 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2012 | HB Koge(home) | 0-9 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Greve(home) | 1-6 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Nakskov score 1.3 and concede 5.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Nakskov | 1.3 | 5.3 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aarup vs Nakskov?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy