Aarup vs Nakskov: result 4-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 1, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Aarup vs Nakskov?
Aarup won 4-1 on September 1, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Aarup have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Nakskov have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Frem Sakskøbing(away) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | OKS(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Tved(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2012 | GVI(away) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Slagelse B&I(home) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Ringsted(away) | 2-4 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2012 | HB Koge(home) | 0-9 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Greve(home) | 1-6 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarup score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Nakskov score 1.3 and concede 5.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarup | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Nakskov | 1.3 | 5.3 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy