Abahani vs Fakirerpool: prediction and stats
Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on November 24, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, Gopalganj
The Footlab AI model makes Abahani the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Fakirerpool. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,156 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abahani vs Fakirerpool?
Abahani is a heavy favourite: 1,528 Elo points against 1,160, a 368-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abahani vs Fakirerpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abahani
4-3-3- 77A. Moin
- 9Al-Amin
- 23M. Islam
- 15R. Hasan
- 12Michael Babatunde
- 6Papon Singh
- 4Y. Khan
- 14Abdullah Sajib
- 13K. Islam
- 3M. Bablu
- 1Mahfuz Pritom
Fakirerpool
4-3-3- 69B. Ouattara
- 98Anik Hossain Siam
- 80H. Arian
- 7Sagor Hossain
- 98M. Kahraba
- 7M. S. Islam
- 33M. Fofana
- 5R. Islam
- 2M. Shanto
- 16Y. Mia
- 1M. Sanju Ahamed
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abahani have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Fakirerpool have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Rahmatgonj MFS(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 1-4 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangladesh Police(away) | 0-8 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fortis(away) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Abahani wins, 0 draws, 0 Fakirerpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Abahani 2-0 Fakirerpool | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Fakirerpool 0-5 Abahani | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Abahani 4-2 Fakirerpool | Federation Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Abahani 6-1 Fakirerpool | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Abahani 3-0 Fakirerpool | Federation Cup |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Fakirerpool 0-2 Abahani | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Abahani vs Fakirerpool on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Abahani score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fakirerpool score 0.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abahani | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fakirerpool | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Abahani vs Fakirerpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abahani vs Fakirerpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Abahani the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Fakirerpool.
- Where and when is Abahani vs Fakirerpool played?
- Abahani vs Fakirerpool is played on November 24, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, in the Federation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Fortis1-1Fakirerpool
- Sep 23, 2026Brothers Union0-0Rahmatgonj MFS
- Sep 25, 2026Abahani1-1Chattogram
- Oct 6, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka3-1Arambagh
- Oct 6, 2026Bangladesh Police1-1City Club
- Oct 6, 2026Dhaka Wanderers0-5Bashundhara Kings
- Oct 13, 2026Rahmatgonj MFS1-3Chattogram
- Oct 13, 2026Brothers Union4-1Fakirerpool