Abahani vs Fortis: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, Gopalganj
The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Abahani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abahani vs Fortis?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Abahani (1,541) and Fortis (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abahani vs Fortis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abahani
4-3-3- 77A. Moin
- 9Al-Amin
- 23M. Islam
- 15R. Hasan
- 18Nazmul Huda Faysal
- 12Michael Babatunde
- 13K. Islam
- 4Y. Khan
- 3M. Bablu
- 2H. Murad
- 1Mahfuz Pritom
Fortis
4-3-3- 10P. Babou
- 19M. Ibrahim
- 9S. Chukwude
- 8A. K. Ghazi A.
- 13A. Fahad
- 6M. Mona
- 2R. Hossain
- 3M. Mithu Chowdhury
- 23M. Alam
- 4E. Jallow
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abahani have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fortis have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Arambagh(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | City Club(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fakirerpool(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Abahani wins, 3 draws, 1 Fortis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Abahani 1-0 Fortis | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Fortis 0-0 Abahani | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Abahani 1-2 Fortis | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Fortis 0-0 Abahani | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Fortis 1-3 Abahani | Federation Cup |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Abahani 1-1 Fortis | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Abahani score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortis score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abahani | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortis | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abahani sit 2nd in Premier League (37 points from 18 matches) and Fortis sit 3rd (35 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Abahani | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Fortis | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 35 |
A question about Abahani vs Fortis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abahani vs Fortis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Abahani.
- Where and when is Abahani vs Fortis played?
- Abahani vs Fortis is played on January 2, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.