Match

ABB vs Aurora: prediction and stats

Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz

ABBAurora

The Footlab model makes ABB the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Aurora. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ABB vs Aurora?

Aurora starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,545 vs 1,416).

ABB win43 %
Draw25 %
Aurora win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ABB have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aurora have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ABB
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home)2-2Primera División
Aug 19, 2026Real Potosí(home)2-3Copa de la División Profesional
Aug 16, 2026Nacional Potosí(away)0-2Primera División
Aug 7, 2026Guabirá(home)0-1Primera División
Aug 4, 2026Real Oruro(home)4-1Primera División
Aurora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Real Potosí(home)0-0Primera División
Aug 18, 2026San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away)1-0Copa de la División Profesional
Aug 15, 2026Blooming(away)0-3Primera División
Aug 8, 2026Bolívar(home)2-4Primera División
Aug 4, 2026Independiente Petrolero(away)1-1Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 ABB win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Aurora win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026Aurora 3-2 ABBPrimera División
Dec 15, 2025Aurora 3-2 ABBPrimera División
Jul 25, 2025ABB 1-2 AuroraCopa de la División Profesional
Jul 19, 2025ABB 2-1 AuroraPrimera División
Apr 29, 2025Aurora 2-1 ABBCopa de la División Profesional

Last archived meeting: Aurora vs ABB on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ABB score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ABB1.72.2013/1512/15
Aurora1.51.4310/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ABB vs Aurora?
The Footlab model makes ABB the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Aurora.
Where and when is ABB vs Aurora played?
ABB vs Aurora is played on September 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernando Siles, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: ABB and Aurora

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