Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Universitario de Vinto the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Oriente Petrolero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero?
Oriente Petrolero starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,424).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitario de Vinto have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Oriente Petrolero have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-5 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Universitario de Vinto win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Oriente Petrolero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero 5-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 3-2 Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional |
| May 21, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 0-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Universitario de Vinto 4-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitario de Vinto score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oriente Petrolero score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario de Vinto | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Oriente Petrolero | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero?
- The Footlab model makes Universitario de Vinto the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Oriente Petrolero.
- Where and when is Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero played?
- Universitario de Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.