The Strongest vs Guabirá: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
The Footlab model makes The Strongest the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Guabirá. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win The Strongest vs Guabirá?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate The Strongest (1,660) and Guabirá (1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, The Strongest have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Guabirá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 The Strongest win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Guabirá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guabirá 3-1 The Strongest | Primera División |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Guabirá 3-2 The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Nov 19, 2025 | The Strongest 2-1 Guabirá | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guabirá 2-1 The Strongest | Primera División |
| May 3, 2025 | The Strongest 5-1 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Guabirá 1-0 The Strongest | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Guabirá vs The Strongest on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
The Strongest score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guabirá score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Strongest | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Guabirá | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for The Strongest vs Guabirá?
- The Footlab model makes The Strongest the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Guabirá.
- Where and when is The Strongest vs Guabirá played?
- The Strongest vs Guabirá is played on September 26, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernando Siles, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.