ABC vs Uberlandia: prediction and stats
Serie DSemi-finalsKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Maria Lamas Farache, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
The Footlab model makes ABC the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Uberlandia. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ABC vs Uberlandia?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate ABC (1,866) and Uberlandia (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ABC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Uberlandia have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uberlandia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nacional AM(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nacional AM(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 4-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Luverdense(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ABC(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSA(away) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSA(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Portuguesa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Portuguesa(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 ABC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Uberlandia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uberlandia 1-0 ABC | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
ABC score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Uberlandia score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | 1.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Uberlandia | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ABC sit 1st in Serie D (23 points from 10 matches) and Uberlandia sit 1st (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ABC vs Uberlandia?
- The Footlab model makes ABC the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Uberlandia.
- Where and when is ABC vs Uberlandia played?
- ABC vs Uberlandia is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Maria Lamas Farache, in the Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.