Aberdeen vs Falkirk: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
The Footlab model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Falkirk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Aberdeen (1,868) and Falkirk (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberdeen have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Falkirk have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Aberdeen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Falkirk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aberdeen 1-1 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Falkirk 1-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Aberdeen 0-1 Falkirk | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Aberdeen score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Falkirk score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Falkirk | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberdeen sit 8th in Premiership (3 points from 2 matches) and Falkirk sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
- The Footlab model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Falkirk.
- Where and when is Aberdeen vs Falkirk played?
- Aberdeen vs Falkirk is played on February 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Pittodrie Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.