Aberystwyth Town vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 2Kick-off on August 9, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
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What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Aberystwyth Town won 2-1 on August 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′635563Baglan Dragons
- 23′Zac HartleyAberystwyth Town
- 47′623796Aberystwyth Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Barry Town(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Guilsfield(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Cefn Cribwr(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd in FAW Championship (19 points from 9 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Aberystwyth Town vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy